Mid-Adulthood Risk Factor Profiles for CKD

[Clark]

http://jasn.asnjournals.org/content/25/11/2633.abstract

Mid-Adulthood Risk Factor Profiles for CKD
Gearoid M. McMahon*†, Sarah R. Preis‡, Shih-Jen Hwang* and Caroline S. Fox*†§
Published online before print
doi: 10.1681/ASN.2013070750
JASN November 2014 vol. 25 no. 11 2633-2641

Correspondence:
Dr. Caroline S. Fox, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute’s Framingham Heart Study, 73 Mt. Wayte Avenue, Suite 2, Framingham, MA 01702. Email: foxca@nhlbi.nih.gov

Abstract

Early identification of CKD risk factors may allow risk factor modification and prevention of CKD progression. We investigated the hypothesis that risk factors are present ≥30 years before the diagnosis of CKD in a case-control study using data from the Framingham Offspring Study. Patients with incident CKD (eGFR≤60 ml/min per 1.73 m2) at examination cycles 6, 7, and 8 were age- and sex-matched 1:2 to patients without CKD at baseline (examination 5). CKD risk factors were measured at each examination cycle. Logistic regression models, adjusted for age, sex, and time period, were constructed to compare risk factor profiles at each time point between cases and controls. During follow-up, 441 new cases of CKD were identified and matched to 882 controls (mean age 69.2 years, 52.4% women). Those who ultimately developed CKD were more likely to have hypertension (odds ratio [OR], 1.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23 to 2.51), obesity (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.14 to 2.59), and higher triglyceride levels (OR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.83) 30 years before CKD diagnosis, and were more likely to have hypertension (OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.79), higher triglyceride levels (OR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.64), lower HDLc (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.81 to 0.97), and diabetes (OR, 2.90; 95% CI, 1.59 to 5.29) 20 years before CKD diagnosis. These findings demonstrate that risk factors for CKD are identifiable ≥30 years before diagnosis and suggest the importance of early risk factor identification in patients at risk for CKD.